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Progress has been extremely disappointing in realising the plans for the future Royal Navy that were outlined by the 1998 Strategic Defence Review  - many ships expected to be under construction by now have either been cancelled or still await approval to be ordered. SDR seems to be regarded by officials as an interesting but no longer relevant historical document.

Royal Navy at the Crossroads

17 February 2007

The warnings made in December 2006 by former First Sea Lord Admiral Sir Alan West about further cuts in the Royal Navy could just about be dismissed as routine lobbying.  However it is reasonable to assume that the RN's funding crisis has reached a watershed when even the serving First Sea Lord publicly speaks out in a manner not seen for a generation -  bluntly stating that unless the Royal Navy gets additional funding, as a naval power the UK will decline to the level of Belgium.

It seems that economies in the fleets support and training budget, once accepted as short term measure necessary to release funds for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have now been institutionalised and built in to future funding plans, with depressing effects on readiness levels.  With uncertainty also surrounding long promised orders for new ships and submarines, the First Sea Lord is apparently warning that his "red line" may about to be passed - although confusingly he apparently retracted some of his statements in a later official MOD press release.  

We seem to have reached a situation where the next few months will see the government either approve long delayed key projects such as the Future Aircraft Carrier (CVF) and include a non-trivial real increase in base (i.e. above and beyond exceptional provisions for Iraq and Afghanistan) defence spending as part of in the Treasury's current comprehensive spending review, or face a highly public collapse in the moral of the armed forces and the resignation of senior officers who clearly feel unable to continue to make excuses to the men and women they lead. 

It should perhaps be emphasised that official statements continue to indicate support for the CVF project - subject to some significant pre-conditions such as industrial re-organisation and agreement on price.  Also a speech by Prime Minister Tony Blair on 12 January 2007  indicated some sympathy for the RN's case at the highest levels - but that is far from equating to hard cash, particularly given that the Prime Minister is believed to be in his last few months in office.

To avoid continuous repetition of my own views, I can but refer to the comments I have made in previous editorials, and I will continue to post extracts of any relevant media reports here.

 

Article on the DefenseNews.com website, dated 5 February 2007

Executive Warns British Carriers May Be Cancelled

By Andrew Chuter

The industry executive leading an alliance of British companies vying for a contract to build two 65,000-metric-ton aircraft carriers for the Royal Navy has urged a swift conclusion to negotiations, or the project may never happen.  It was only a throwaway remark at the end of a conference, but Peter McIntosh, the senior executive who delivered it, emphasized the possible consequences of government and industry not quickly agreeing on a price to build the biggest warships ever planned for the Royal Navy. McIntosh, giving an update on the program, told an audience Jan. 24 that if things aren’t hurried up, he is in danger of being part of a project that would go on record as the longest program “never to happen.”  He spoke at a closed forum here, where Britain’s leading maritime industry executives and Ministry of Defence officials were discussing the future shape of the fleet.

 

Article on the BBC website, dated 16 February 2007

Navy needs extra £1bn - admiral

The head of the Royal Navy has warned that the service needs another £1bn to meet future foreign policy demands.  Admiral Sir Jonathon Band appealed for the cash - a third of the navy's annual operating budget - to spend on new ships, at a journalists' briefing. 

Paul Wood said Sir Jonathon had argued that Britain faced a choice between remaining as a first division sea-going nation or, as the officer put it, turning into Belgium.  With the government committed to an active foreign policy, the extra cash was essential to safeguard future capabilities and deliver an extra two aircraft carriers, he believed.

"The navy is a very special asset, and if you want to use it, it doesn't come for nothing," he told the journalists.  We're at a scale now that requires a certain amount of investment to maintain. You can't do deterrence unless you are a really professional outfit."

Sir Jonathon also said that he had raised the issue privately with the prime minister and the chancellor.  He summarised his position to journalists by saying: "Give me two carriers and just less than a billion and I will be off your back, a happy boy."

 

Article in the Daily Telegraph newspaper, dated 17 February 2007

First Sea Lord declares war on Navy cuts

By Thomas Harding, Defence Correspondent

The First Sea Lord said yesterday that a significant increase in spending was needed if the nation wanted the Royal Navy to remain a "serious player".

An increase of more than 30 per cent in the Fleet's day-to-day budget was necessary to pay for better sailors' wages, the running of ships and improved accommodation, said Admiral Sir Jonathon Band.

He also threatened to resign as head of the Navy if the Government failed to agree to pay for two new aircraft carriers it has promised.

Looming Whitehall cuts could turn Britain's powerful array of warships into the "Belgian navy and if we do then I am gone," he told defence journalists.

The chiefs of the three Services have made their views firmly known to the Prime Minister and "he is clear what they are", Admiral Band said.

It has been reported that the Navy could face having almost half its fleet of warships permanently moth-balled under the Comprehensive Spending Review that sets government spending for the next four years. Asked what he would want for the Navy from the review, Admiral Band said: "Give me two carriers and less than a billion a year and I would be off your back tomorrow – a happy boy."

With more than 90 per cent of Britain's goods travelling by sea it was "in the national interest" to keep the Navy powerful enough to protect shipping.

To keep the Navy in the big league with America and France, day-to-day spending would need to increase by £1 billion to £4.1 billion.

This was needed for running repairs, fuel, refitting, better pay and improved accommodation. The Admiral also said he wanted the increase to ensure the long term future of the Navy, allowing it to maintain aircraft carriers, a submarine strike force and an amphibious fleet.

He said a debate was needed in Britain over the amount of money spent on defence.

"What sort of military does this country want?" he said. "We are at a scale now that requires a certain amount of investment."

Having a strong fleet also gave Britain leverage with America. "They are the things that bring us to the operational table with the US. If you get rid of us then we just say over to you France," he said. To remain in that league it needed the two aircraft carriers, estimated to cost £3.6 billion, because there was "no more expressive statement" that Britain was a global power "than to get our four acres of UK mainland anywhere in the world".

While many minds were focused on the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan it was important that the Navy was not "disrupted by shorter term issues". The current running costs of £3.1 billion a year was "the equivalent of first class stamp per day for every taxpayer in this country," Admiral Band said.

Julian Lewis, the shadow defence minister, said it was clear some senior Navy officers were close to resigning.

He added: "At the rate the Navy is being destroyed it is only a matter of time, given the number of senior members who find it necessary to speak out, that someone in the Service feels he cannot carry on in his position."


 

Article in the The Times newspaper, dated 17 February 2007

We need £1bn to rule the waves, says First Sea Lord

Fiona Hamilton

Britain could be relegated from the top division of seafaring nations without a £1 billion investment in its fleet, the head of the Royal Navy cautioned yesterday.

First Sea Lord Admiral Sir Jonathan Band, who is expected to be the next Chief of Defence Staff, said that Britain would be at risk of “turning into Belgium” without extra funding to sustain its naval capabilities.

The admiral later insisted, in a statement released through the Ministry of Defence, that he was not criticising present funding levels and said that his remarks were designed to “inform the public debate”.

His comments come after a series of outspoken attacks on the Government’s defence policy by former and current army chiefs. Last year, General Sir Richard Dannatt, the Army’s most senior commander, caused a panic in Whitehall when he contradicted government policy on Iraq, saying that the continuing presence of British troops was exacerbating problems. He also said that his troops were “at the limit of their capacity”.

Sir Jonathan told his lunch guests that the extra investment was needed to maintain the Navy, which he described as a “special asset”, and to buy two new aircraft carriers.

He said: “If you want to use it, it doesn’t come for nothing. We’re at a scale now that requires a certain amount of investment to maintain. You can’t do deterrence unless you are a really professional outfit.”

He said that he had raised the issue privately with both the Prime Minister and the Chancellor, and summarised his position as “give me two carriers and just less than a billion and I will be off your back, a happy boy”.

The Conservatives said that the remarks were evidence that Gordon Brown was refusing to provide much needed cash for the Armed Forces.

Julian Lewis, the Shadow Defence Minister, said: “The fact that the First Sea Lord feels it necessary to speak out in this forthright way confirms everything we have said about the destruction of the frontline strength of the fleet.

“The 1998 Strategic Defence Review committed the Government to 32 frigates and destroyers. We are now down to 25, with possibly 6 more to be lost despite the fact we have since embarked on 2 major military campaigns.

“The Armed Forces are overstretched as never before. Whilst Tony Blair increases commitments, Gordon Brown again refuses to provide the resources necessary.”

....

Tony Blair said last month that Britain must maintain its status as a leading defence power, with military might essential to winning the war against terrorism.

“For our part, in Government, it will mean increased expenditure on equipment, personnel and the conditions of our Armed Forces — not in the short run, but for the long term,” he said in a speech delivered on board HMS Albion.


 

Statement on the Ministry of Defence website, dated 16 February 2007

First Sea Lord responds to reports over "Navy cuts"

Chief of the Naval Staff Admiral Sir Jonathon Band has responded to media reports about the funding of the Royal Navy.

In a statement issued on 16 February 2007 Admiral Band, who is professional head of the Royal Navy, explained:

"I do not think, and have not said, that the Royal Navy needs a £1bn-a-year extra to do its job or to keep ships at sea. Today’s Royal Navy is funded to do what is asked of it – not least thanks to a current investment programme of £14bn, and the delivery of 28 new ships in the last decade alone.

"As the Prime Minister has said, if we as a nation are to extend what our Armed Forces can do, the public needs to feel comfortable with the economic choices needed to make that happen.

"I welcome the way the Prime Minister has started this debate, as I welcome the Government’s commitment to the new aircraft carriers, and my comments today have been aimed at informing this public debate about the long-term funding of our Armed Forces, nothing more.”

In a separate, recent letter to the national press, Rear Admiral Alan Massey, Assistant Chief of Naval Staff, has said:

"No claim that 19 Royal Navy ships have been decommissioned and 11 sold since the Falklands conflict is complete without mention of the awesome power of the ships that have replaced them.

"The Navy is currently benefiting from a £14 billion investment package - the largest warship building programme in 20 years. In the past decade, 28 ships and one submarine have been put into service, including the new helicopter carrier HMS Ocean, two Albion Class amphibious assault ships, four Bay Class amphibious logistic support ships and three River Class patrol vessels.

"We look forward to the arrival of new Astute Class attack submarines, Daring Class Destroyers and two new aircraft carriers - the largest warships ever constructed in the UK.

"The fleet today is designed to meet the demands we face in 2007, not those of 25 years ago. To claim we could not now prevail in a conflict such as the Falklands is wrong. The Royal Navy has the strength, not least in a greatly enhanced amphibious capability, that sees it well prepared to respond to any emerging threat.

"Anyone who might tangle with today's Royal Navy would come off worse."

 

 

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 © 2004-8 Richard Beedall unless otherwise indicated.